High-pressure ridging and clear, stable conditions are driving the market's emphasis on 100–101°F as the leading outcome at 35% implied probability for Denver's August 3 maximum. National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to sunny skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating under a persistent warm pattern, with forecast highs near 100°F—well above the early-August normal of 88–90°F at the city's 5,280-foot elevation. Downslope warming and typical summer insolation further support this range, while limited moisture or convection keeps suppression minimal. Recent above-normal temperatures and regional heat have lifted expectations into the upper 90s to low 100s, concentrating trader sentiment in the 98–103°F bins. Official observations from NWS Denver or Buckley Space Force Base will resolve the market, with any last-minute forecast shifts the main variable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Denver on August 3?
100-101°F 37%
98-99°F 26%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 11%
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
26%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
2%
110°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 37%
98-99°F 26%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 11%
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
26%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
2%
110°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...High-pressure ridging and clear, stable conditions are driving the market's emphasis on 100–101°F as the leading outcome at 35% implied probability for Denver's August 3 maximum. National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to sunny skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating under a persistent warm pattern, with forecast highs near 100°F—well above the early-August normal of 88–90°F at the city's 5,280-foot elevation. Downslope warming and typical summer insolation further support this range, while limited moisture or convection keeps suppression minimal. Recent above-normal temperatures and regional heat have lifted expectations into the upper 90s to low 100s, concentrating trader sentiment in the 98–103°F bins. Official observations from NWS Denver or Buckley Space Force Base will resolve the market, with any last-minute forecast shifts the main variable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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