Latest numerical weather prediction models show Guangzhou's September 1 maximum temperature likely peaking near 32–33 °C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure offset by scattered convective showers and increasing northerly wind components. Model spread arises primarily from differing resolutions of afternoon thunderstorm timing and cloud cover, which can suppress peak insolation by 1–2 °C, while drier scenarios allow brief clearing and higher readings. These values align closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 32.9 °C for the date. Traders appear to weigh recent ensemble runs from regional centers against historical variability in early-September monsoon transitions, where precipitation probability near 50 % introduces the main uncertainty for exact daily highs. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution further.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 1?
33°C 26%
32°C 23%
34°C 16%
29°C 15%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
15%
30°C
10%
31°C
13%
32°C
23%
33°C
26%
34°C
16%
35°C
10%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 26%
32°C 23%
34°C 16%
29°C 15%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
15%
30°C
10%
31°C
13%
32°C
23%
33°C
26%
34°C
16%
35°C
10%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models show Guangzhou's September 1 maximum temperature likely peaking near 32–33 °C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure offset by scattered convective showers and increasing northerly wind components. Model spread arises primarily from differing resolutions of afternoon thunderstorm timing and cloud cover, which can suppress peak insolation by 1–2 °C, while drier scenarios allow brief clearing and higher readings. These values align closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 32.9 °C for the date. Traders appear to weigh recent ensemble runs from regional centers against historical variability in early-September monsoon transitions, where precipitation probability near 50 % introduces the main uncertainty for exact daily highs. Updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution further.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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