Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight convective showers and thunderstorms expected over Hong Kong on August 19, which are likely to limit peak heating and keep the daily maximum near 31–32°C. Typical August conditions feature high humidity, afternoon sea breezes, and monsoon influences that moderate extremes, with historical averages around 31°C but recent days showing 32–33°C under clearer skies. Model consensus points to increased cloud cover and precipitation probability that day, reducing insolation and the chance of reaching 33°C or higher, while making 30°C less probable if morning conditions warm quickly. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-term variability in storm timing introduces the observed market split between the two leading outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
31°C 35%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
35%
32°C
33%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
31°C 35%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 12%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
35%
32°C
33%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight convective showers and thunderstorms expected over Hong Kong on August 19, which are likely to limit peak heating and keep the daily maximum near 31–32°C. Typical August conditions feature high humidity, afternoon sea breezes, and monsoon influences that moderate extremes, with historical averages around 31°C but recent days showing 32–33°C under clearer skies. Model consensus points to increased cloud cover and precipitation probability that day, reducing insolation and the chance of reaching 33°C or higher, while making 30°C less probable if morning conditions warm quickly. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-term variability in storm timing introduces the observed market split between the two leading outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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