Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a shift in synoptic pattern over southern Germany by August 17, 2026, with weakening high pressure allowing increased westerly flow, greater cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that reduce daytime solar insolation and cap maximum temperatures near 21–23°C in Munich. This cooling follows hotter conditions on prior days driven by southerly advection and clear skies. Key variables include exact cloud fraction and precipitation timing, which can alter surface heating by 1–2°C, alongside boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Market-implied probabilities center on 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus around these thresholds while acknowledging forecast spread and potential for minor revisions in the final 48-hour model runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on August 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 17?
22°C 35%
23°C 26%
21°C 25%
20°C or below 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 17, 2026
20°C or below
8%
21°C
25%
22°C
35%
23°C
26%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 35%
23°C 26%
21°C 25%
20°C or below 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 17, 2026
20°C or below
$489 Vol.
8%
21°C
$814 Vol.
25%
22°C
$90 Vol.
35%
23°C
$224 Vol.
26%
24°C
$621 Vol.
7%
25°C
$180 Vol.
3%
26°C
$117 Vol.
2%
27°C
$19 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$147 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a shift in synoptic pattern over southern Germany by August 17, 2026, with weakening high pressure allowing increased westerly flow, greater cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that reduce daytime solar insolation and cap maximum temperatures near 21–23°C in Munich. This cooling follows hotter conditions on prior days driven by southerly advection and clear skies. Key variables include exact cloud fraction and precipitation timing, which can alter surface heating by 1–2°C, alongside boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Market-implied probabilities center on 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus around these thresholds while acknowledging forecast spread and potential for minor revisions in the final 48-hour model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$2,775Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a shift in synoptic pattern over southern Germany by August 17, 2026, with weakening high pressure allowing increased westerly flow, greater cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that reduce daytime solar insolation and cap maximum temperatures near 21–23°C in Munich. This cooling follows hotter conditions on prior days driven by southerly advection and clear skies. Key variables include exact cloud fraction and precipitation timing, which can alter surface heating by 1–2°C, alongside boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Market-implied probabilities center on 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus around these thresholds while acknowledging forecast spread and potential for minor revisions in the final 48-hour model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,775Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a shift in synoptic pattern over southern Germany by August 17, 2026, with weakening high pressure allowing increased westerly flow, greater cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers that reduce daytime solar insolation and cap maximum temperatures near 21–23°C in Munich. This cooling follows hotter conditions on prior days driven by southerly advection and clear skies. Key variables include exact cloud fraction and precipitation timing, which can alter surface heating by 1–2°C, alongside boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Market-implied probabilities center on 21–23°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus around these thresholds while acknowledging forecast spread and potential for minor revisions in the final 48-hour model runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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