Current ensemble forecasts from multiple meteorological centers position Moscow's August 17 high near 24–25 °C, aligning with the market's heaviest implied probabilities at those levels. Mid-August climatology for the region shows average daily maxima of 22–24 °C under typical westerly flow and moderate Atlantic influence, with limited potential for strong ridging or cold advection this far ahead. Recent model runs indicate partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers that should cap daytime heating without significant suppression, keeping values within the historical interquartile range. Shifts in the 48-hour forecast window or updated guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center could still adjust the final observed maximum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
24°C 45%
25°C 18%
23°C 15%
26°C 10%
19°C or below
5%
20°C
7%
21°C
9%
22°C
7%
23°C
15%
24°C
45%
25°C
18%
26°C
10%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
5%
24°C 45%
25°C 18%
23°C 15%
26°C 10%
19°C or below
5%
20°C
7%
21°C
9%
22°C
7%
23°C
15%
24°C
45%
25°C
18%
26°C
10%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from multiple meteorological centers position Moscow's August 17 high near 24–25 °C, aligning with the market's heaviest implied probabilities at those levels. Mid-August climatology for the region shows average daily maxima of 22–24 °C under typical westerly flow and moderate Atlantic influence, with limited potential for strong ridging or cold advection this far ahead. Recent model runs indicate partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers that should cap daytime heating without significant suppression, keeping values within the historical interquartile range. Shifts in the 48-hour forecast window or updated guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center could still adjust the final observed maximum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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