Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional analyses, indicate clear skies, light southerly or variable winds, and minimal cloud cover over Madrid on September 21, supporting peak afternoon temperatures centered on 32–33°C under stable high pressure. These conditions align with late-September climatology for the region, where daytime maxima typically range 25–28°C but have trended warmer amid recent dry spells and above-average September warmth. Ensemble consistency across sources keeps 34°C or higher probabilities low, while the narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects limited model divergence and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture that could alter surface heating. Updated runs tomorrow morning from agencies like AEMET will provide the final observational tiebreaker for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
33°C 53%
32°C 42%
34°C 5%
35°C 1.3%
BAGO
$15,634 Vol.
BAGO
$15,634 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
42%
33°C
53%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 53%
32°C 42%
34°C 5%
35°C 1.3%
BAGO
$15,634 Vol.
BAGO
$15,634 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
$691 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$300 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$486 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$135 Vol.
1%
30°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,071 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5,571 Vol.
42%
33°C
$4,493 Vol.
53%
34°C
$1,972 Vol.
5%
35°C
$464 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$155 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional analyses, indicate clear skies, light southerly or variable winds, and minimal cloud cover over Madrid on September 21, supporting peak afternoon temperatures centered on 32–33°C under stable high pressure. These conditions align with late-September climatology for the region, where daytime maxima typically range 25–28°C but have trended warmer amid recent dry spells and above-average September warmth. Ensemble consistency across sources keeps 34°C or higher probabilities low, while the narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects limited model divergence and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture that could alter surface heating. Updated runs tomorrow morning from agencies like AEMET will provide the final observational tiebreaker for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$15,634Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional analyses, indicate clear skies, light southerly or variable winds, and minimal cloud cover over Madrid on September 21, supporting peak afternoon temperatures centered on 32–33°C under stable high pressure. These conditions align with late-September climatology for the region, where daytime maxima typically range 25–28°C but have trended warmer amid recent dry spells and above-average September warmth. Ensemble consistency across sources keeps 34°C or higher probabilities low, while the narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects limited model divergence and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture that could alter surface heating. Updated runs tomorrow morning from agencies like AEMET will provide the final observational tiebreaker for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,634Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional analyses, indicate clear skies, light southerly or variable winds, and minimal cloud cover over Madrid on September 21, supporting peak afternoon temperatures centered on 32–33°C under stable high pressure. These conditions align with late-September climatology for the region, where daytime maxima typically range 25–28°C but have trended warmer amid recent dry spells and above-average September warmth. Ensemble consistency across sources keeps 34°C or higher probabilities low, while the narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects limited model divergence and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture that could alter surface heating. Updated runs tomorrow morning from agencies like AEMET will provide the final observational tiebreaker for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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