Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models show Manila’s maximum temperature on May 23 settling at 37°C, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and light winds during peak afternoon hours. This aligns with typical late-May climatology in the region, where daily highs commonly reach the mid-30s Celsius under similar synoptic patterns. Model consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C, with limited spread unless steering flow shifts or moisture convergence increases cloud cover and convective activity. Isolated thunderstorms later in the day could cap the peak slightly lower, while any unexpected clearing would be needed to push readings into the upper 30s.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on May 23?
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$31,506 Vol.
$31,506 Vol.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$31,506 Vol.
$31,506 Vol.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 21, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models show Manila’s maximum temperature on May 23 settling at 37°C, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and light winds during peak afternoon hours. This aligns with typical late-May climatology in the region, where daily highs commonly reach the mid-30s Celsius under similar synoptic patterns. Model consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C, with limited spread unless steering flow shifts or moisture convergence increases cloud cover and convective activity. Isolated thunderstorms later in the day could cap the peak slightly lower, while any unexpected clearing would be needed to push readings into the upper 30s.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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