Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seattle on July 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 15?
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$49,650 Vol.
$49,650 Vol.
Jul 15, 2026
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$49,650 Vol.
$49,650 Vol.
Jul 15, 2026
75°F or below
$2,122 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$668 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$4,083 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$17,399 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$5,844 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$7,799 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$4,180 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$2,284 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$2,409 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$2,000 Vol.
No
94°F or higher
$862 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volume
$49,650Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,650Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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