Forecast models from the National Weather Service show San Francisco’s July 19 high likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s as a persistent marine layer moderates onshore flow and limits daytime heating. The closely matched market probabilities around 64–69 °F reflect small differences among ensemble runs in marine-layer depth, low-cloud clearance timing, and local sea-breeze strength. Cooler sea-surface temperatures along the central coast reinforce the onshore gradient, while any weakening of the subtropical high could allow slightly warmer air to reach the city. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable range near the climatological July average, with only modest upside risk if the layer erodes earlier than expected.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 19?
64-65°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$51,443 Vol.
$51,443 Vol.
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$51,443 Vol.
$51,443 Vol.
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Forecast models from the National Weather Service show San Francisco’s July 19 high likely settling in the mid-to-upper 60s as a persistent marine layer moderates onshore flow and limits daytime heating. The closely matched market probabilities around 64–69 °F reflect small differences among ensemble runs in marine-layer depth, low-cloud clearance timing, and local sea-breeze strength. Cooler sea-surface temperatures along the central coast reinforce the onshore gradient, while any weakening of the subtropical high could allow slightly warmer air to reach the city. Traders are therefore weighting the most probable range near the climatological July average, with only modest upside risk if the layer erodes earlier than expected.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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