Trader consensus positions 22–23°C as the leading outcomes for Moscow’s highest temperature on August 23, driven by the latest global ensemble forecasts showing moderate high pressure and northerly flow limiting daytime warming. These runs align closely with late-August climatology, where historical averages hover near 21–24°C based on long-term observational records. Model agreement remains solid within the 48-hour window, though minor jet-stream adjustments could still nudge extremes. Roshydromet and ECMWF updates scheduled over the next day will provide the next key data points for refining these market-implied odds, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature projections.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
23°C 50%
22°C 26%
24°C 15%
27°C or higher 7%
17°C or below
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
4%
22°C
26%
23°C
50%
24°C
16%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
7%
23°C 50%
22°C 26%
24°C 15%
27°C or higher 7%
17°C or below
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
4%
22°C
26%
23°C
50%
24°C
16%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions 22–23°C as the leading outcomes for Moscow’s highest temperature on August 23, driven by the latest global ensemble forecasts showing moderate high pressure and northerly flow limiting daytime warming. These runs align closely with late-August climatology, where historical averages hover near 21–24°C based on long-term observational records. Model agreement remains solid within the 48-hour window, though minor jet-stream adjustments could still nudge extremes. Roshydromet and ECMWF updates scheduled over the next day will provide the next key data points for refining these market-implied odds, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature projections.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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