Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high near 30–31°C for Shenzhen on August 21 amid thundery showers and easterly breezes, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity above 70 percent, and cloud cover from regional convection are capping peaks below the seasonal 32°C average, while steering patterns and limited typhoon influence keep extreme heat probabilities low. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability tied to rainfall timing, with traders weighting these near-term dynamics heavily given the two-day horizon to resolution. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will further refine the range before markets close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 21?
30°C 32%
31°C 23%
35°C or higher 16%
32°C 15%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
13%
30°C
20%
31°C
23%
32°C
15%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
16%
30°C 32%
31°C 23%
35°C or higher 16%
32°C 15%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
13%
30°C
20%
31°C
23%
32°C
15%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high near 30–31°C for Shenzhen on August 21 amid thundery showers and easterly breezes, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity above 70 percent, and cloud cover from regional convection are capping peaks below the seasonal 32°C average, while steering patterns and limited typhoon influence keep extreme heat probabilities low. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability tied to rainfall timing, with traders weighting these near-term dynamics heavily given the two-day horizon to resolution. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will further refine the range before markets close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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