Recent MetService and Met Office forecasts for Wellington on August 19, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum of 10–11°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers and southerly winds, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 11°C. Wellington’s August climatology features average highs near 12°C, but a recent pulse of cooler polar air has kept temperatures slightly below normal, with the 17–18th already tracking 9–11°C. Model guidance shows limited warming potential ahead of the date due to persistent southerlies and typical winter frontal passages, while ENSO-neutral conditions and near-average sea surface temperatures around New Zealand provide little anomalous heat. Updated runs from official agencies through mid-August have reinforced this narrow 10–12°C window, leaving only modest probability mass on outliers such as 13°C or 9°C. Traders are therefore pricing in the consensus forecast range rather than expecting significant model shifts before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on August 19?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 19?
11°C 56%
12°C 27%
10°C 16%
9°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 19, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
16%
11°C
56%
12°C
27%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
1%
11°C 56%
12°C 27%
10°C 16%
9°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 19, 2026
5°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$76 Vol.
1%
8°C
$5 Vol.
2%
9°C
$101 Vol.
3%
10°C
$361 Vol.
16%
11°C
$1,322 Vol.
56%
12°C
$393 Vol.
27%
13°C
$107 Vol.
3%
14°C
$5 Vol.
2%
15°C or higher
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and Met Office forecasts for Wellington on August 19, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum of 10–11°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers and southerly winds, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 11°C. Wellington’s August climatology features average highs near 12°C, but a recent pulse of cooler polar air has kept temperatures slightly below normal, with the 17–18th already tracking 9–11°C. Model guidance shows limited warming potential ahead of the date due to persistent southerlies and typical winter frontal passages, while ENSO-neutral conditions and near-average sea surface temperatures around New Zealand provide little anomalous heat. Updated runs from official agencies through mid-August have reinforced this narrow 10–12°C window, leaving only modest probability mass on outliers such as 13°C or 9°C. Traders are therefore pricing in the consensus forecast range rather than expecting significant model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,791Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and Met Office forecasts for Wellington on August 19, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum of 10–11°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers and southerly winds, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 11°C. Wellington’s August climatology features average highs near 12°C, but a recent pulse of cooler polar air has kept temperatures slightly below normal, with the 17–18th already tracking 9–11°C. Model guidance shows limited warming potential ahead of the date due to persistent southerlies and typical winter frontal passages, while ENSO-neutral conditions and near-average sea surface temperatures around New Zealand provide little anomalous heat. Updated runs from official agencies through mid-August have reinforced this narrow 10–12°C window, leaving only modest probability mass on outliers such as 13°C or 9°C. Traders are therefore pricing in the consensus forecast range rather than expecting significant model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,791Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and Met Office forecasts for Wellington on August 19, 2026, converge on a daytime maximum of 10–11°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers and southerly winds, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 11°C. Wellington’s August climatology features average highs near 12°C, but a recent pulse of cooler polar air has kept temperatures slightly below normal, with the 17–18th already tracking 9–11°C. Model guidance shows limited warming potential ahead of the date due to persistent southerlies and typical winter frontal passages, while ENSO-neutral conditions and near-average sea surface temperatures around New Zealand provide little anomalous heat. Updated runs from official agencies through mid-August have reinforced this narrow 10–12°C window, leaving only modest probability mass on outliers such as 13°C or 9°C. Traders are therefore pricing in the consensus forecast range rather than expecting significant model shifts before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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