Recent climatological data position late-August maximum temperatures in Istanbul near 28°C as the modal outcome, with historical averages for the period clustering between 27–29°C under typical Black Sea-influenced summer patterns. Short-range model guidance and ensemble spreads currently show limited deviation from seasonal norms, keeping the 27–29°C range dominant in trader pricing while assigning only modest probability to outliers above 30°C or below 26°C. Humidity levels and light winds typical of the season further stabilize daytime peaks near these values absent any strong synoptic shift. Updated National Meteorological Service forecasts and observational trends over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signals for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
28°C 47%
27°C 28%
29°C 14%
26°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 23, 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
28%
28°C
47%
29°C
14%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
4%
28°C 47%
27°C 28%
29°C 14%
26°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 23, 2026
23°C or below
$25 Vol.
3%
24°C
$25 Vol.
4%
25°C
$20 Vol.
2%
26°C
$42 Vol.
6%
27°C
$65 Vol.
28%
28°C
$56 Vol.
47%
29°C
$30 Vol.
14%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C
$5 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$6 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent climatological data position late-August maximum temperatures in Istanbul near 28°C as the modal outcome, with historical averages for the period clustering between 27–29°C under typical Black Sea-influenced summer patterns. Short-range model guidance and ensemble spreads currently show limited deviation from seasonal norms, keeping the 27–29°C range dominant in trader pricing while assigning only modest probability to outliers above 30°C or below 26°C. Humidity levels and light winds typical of the season further stabilize daytime peaks near these values absent any strong synoptic shift. Updated National Meteorological Service forecasts and observational trends over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signals for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$274Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent climatological data position late-August maximum temperatures in Istanbul near 28°C as the modal outcome, with historical averages for the period clustering between 27–29°C under typical Black Sea-influenced summer patterns. Short-range model guidance and ensemble spreads currently show limited deviation from seasonal norms, keeping the 27–29°C range dominant in trader pricing while assigning only modest probability to outliers above 30°C or below 26°C. Humidity levels and light winds typical of the season further stabilize daytime peaks near these values absent any strong synoptic shift. Updated National Meteorological Service forecasts and observational trends over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signals for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$274Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent climatological data position late-August maximum temperatures in Istanbul near 28°C as the modal outcome, with historical averages for the period clustering between 27–29°C under typical Black Sea-influenced summer patterns. Short-range model guidance and ensemble spreads currently show limited deviation from seasonal norms, keeping the 27–29°C range dominant in trader pricing while assigning only modest probability to outliers above 30°C or below 26°C. Humidity levels and light winds typical of the season further stabilize daytime peaks near these values absent any strong synoptic shift. Updated National Meteorological Service forecasts and observational trends over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest near-term signals for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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