Recent model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration and international forecasts points to partly cloudy skies with northeast monsoon flow and a strengthening subtropical high over Taiwan, favoring strong daytime solar heating but efficient nighttime radiative cooling. This "autumn tiger" pattern, typical in late September as the monsoon weakens, has produced daytime maxima of 30–33 °C in recent days, with minimal precipitation expected on the 21st. Historical September baselines for Taipei average highs near 31 °C, and the absence of typhoon activity or significant cloud cover supports the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to monsoon strength or local humidity will be the key near-term drivers of shifts in implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Taipei on September 21?
32°C 51%
33°C 24%
31°C 23%
30°C 4%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
23%
32°C
51%
33°C
24%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 51%
33°C 24%
31°C 23%
30°C 4%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
23%
32°C
51%
33°C
24%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration and international forecasts points to partly cloudy skies with northeast monsoon flow and a strengthening subtropical high over Taiwan, favoring strong daytime solar heating but efficient nighttime radiative cooling. This "autumn tiger" pattern, typical in late September as the monsoon weakens, has produced daytime maxima of 30–33 °C in recent days, with minimal precipitation expected on the 21st. Historical September baselines for Taipei average highs near 31 °C, and the absence of typhoon activity or significant cloud cover supports the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to monsoon strength or local humidity will be the key near-term drivers of shifts in implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong