Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 7 will likely reach 31–32°C under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with the market’s tight split between 32°C and 33°C. The Mediterranean sea breeze typically moderates afternoon peaks, yet stable high pressure and low humidity support strong daytime heating. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation, subtle shifts in wind direction, and any late adjustments in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing within the final model runs. Historical September averages near 29–30°C place these values slightly above normal, with official Israel Meteorological Service observations and updated ensemble guidance expected to resolve the narrow gap before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 7?
32°C 53%
33°C 47%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
53%
33°C
47%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
33°C 47%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
53%
33°C
47%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 7 will likely reach 31–32°C under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with the market’s tight split between 32°C and 33°C. The Mediterranean sea breeze typically moderates afternoon peaks, yet stable high pressure and low humidity support strong daytime heating. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation, subtle shifts in wind direction, and any late adjustments in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing within the final model runs. Historical September averages near 29–30°C place these values slightly above normal, with official Israel Meteorological Service observations and updated ensemble guidance expected to resolve the narrow gap before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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