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Climate mga prediksiyon at odds

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Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

12%

$62.4K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

9

Ends in 12 months

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

53%

<4m sq km

$31.5K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

6

Ends in 6 months

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

28%

$205K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

7%

$14.3K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

36%

$324K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

9

Ends in 9 months

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

37%

$332K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

43%

Morgan Stanley

$1M Vol.

$56.4K today

$89.4K Liq.

17

Ends in over 1 year

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

60%

Other (incl $SPCX)

$5M Vol.

$218K Liq.

214

Ends in over 1 year

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

56%

0

$1M Vol.

$34.5K Liq.

9

Ends in 12 months

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

55%

2

$3M Vol.

$164K Liq.

17

Ends in 9 months

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

99%

↑2k

$8M Vol.

$41.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

94%

1T+

$3M Vol.

$196K Liq.

42

Ends in over 1 year

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

80%

8+

$2M Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

28

Ends in 2 months

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

90%

SpaceX

$2M Vol.

$285K Liq.

10

Ends in 9 months

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

>$1T

$1M Vol.

$127K Liq.

22

Ends in over 1 year

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

4%

$42.7K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 month

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10%

$179K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

28%

11–13

$1M Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

12%

$233K Vol.

$54.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

16%

$235K Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa pamamagitan ng pag-trade sa mga bagay na may kaugnayan sa breaking news, pulitika, sports, eleksyon, crypto, finance, tech, kultura, kasama ang mga paksa tulad ng Climate.

Kasalukuyang nag-ho-host ang Polymarket ng 137 aktibong markets para sa Climate na nagbibigay-daan sa iyong subaybayan o mag-trade sa mga prediksiyon tulad ng "Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?". Sinusubaybayan mo man ang mga malawakang pinagdedebatehang event o niche outcomes, pinagsasama-sama ng platform ang real-time odds batay sa higit $28.7M sa trading volume, na nagbibigay ng komprehensibong view ng sentimyento ng mga fan at investor.

Ang bawat polymarket ay isang yes/no na tanong, tulad ng "Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?". Bumibili ka ng shares sa "yes" o "no" na outcomes. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa crowd-sourced odds at probabilities. Halimbawa, kung ang yes ay nasa 30 cents, ibig sabihin 30% ang tsansa. Nire-resolve ang mga market batay sa opisyal na resulta. Para sa multi-outcome events, tulad ng "Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?," mag-trade ka lang sa partikular na outcome na sa tingin mong mananalo.

Sa ngayon, ang pinaka-aktibong market ay "Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?," kung saan ang crowd ay kasalukuyang nagtatakda ng 100% na tsansa sa ↑1k. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon at nag-te-trade ang mga user, na nag-aalok ng dynamic na snapshot kung ano ang pinaniniwalaan ng market na mangyayari kumpara sa tradisyonal na bookmaker odds.

Tinatanggal nito ang ingay. Hindi tulad ng mga poll o punditry, pinapakita sa iyo ng Polymarket ang real-time odds sa Climate predictions na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction na kadalasang mas mabilis at mas tumpak kaysa sa mga eksperto o survey. Makakakuha ka ng unbiased na view ng kung ano ang iniisip ng libu-libong traders na talagang mangyayari, na kadalasang mas tumpak kaysa sa polls. Dagdag pa, maaari kang mag-trade ng shares at posibleng kumita kung tama ang iyong mga prediksiyon.