Recent NSIDC data show Arctic sea ice extent averaging 5.56 million square kilometers in August 2026, ranking seventh lowest on record amid a relatively cool high-latitude Arctic Ocean that slowed melt rates after earlier tracking near 2012 levels. The minimum, expected in mid-September, hinges on short-term weather patterns including storm activity, wind-driven ice transport, and regional temperatures in the Beaufort, Chukchi, and East Siberian seas, where open water has expanded. Statistical projections from current conditions and historical melt trajectories place the likely September value in the 4.0–5.5 million square kilometer post-2007 range, with trader emphasis on the 4.2–4.6 million square kilometer bins reflecting modest further decline before freeze-up begins. Model consensus and observational updates through early September will refine these odds as resolution nears.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
4.6-4.8m sq km 6.3%
4.8-5m sq km 5.4%
4.0-4.2m sq km 4.3%
<4m sq km 2.9%
$74,729 Vol.
$74,729 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<4m sq km
3%
4.0-4.2m sq km
4%
4.2-4.4m sq km
45%
4.4-4.6m sq km
39%
4.6-4.8m sq km
6%
4.8-5m sq km
5%
5m+ sq km
1%
4.6-4.8m sq km 6.3%
4.8-5m sq km 5.4%
4.0-4.2m sq km 4.3%
<4m sq km 2.9%
$74,729 Vol.
$74,729 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<4m sq km
$33,042 Vol.
3%
4.0-4.2m sq km
$7,277 Vol.
4%
4.2-4.4m sq km
$3,468 Vol.
45%
4.4-4.6m sq km
$3,655 Vol.
39%
4.6-4.8m sq km
$8,290 Vol.
6%
4.8-5m sq km
$4,166 Vol.
5%
5m+ sq km
$14,830 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent NSIDC data show Arctic sea ice extent averaging 5.56 million square kilometers in August 2026, ranking seventh lowest on record amid a relatively cool high-latitude Arctic Ocean that slowed melt rates after earlier tracking near 2012 levels. The minimum, expected in mid-September, hinges on short-term weather patterns including storm activity, wind-driven ice transport, and regional temperatures in the Beaufort, Chukchi, and East Siberian seas, where open water has expanded. Statistical projections from current conditions and historical melt trajectories place the likely September value in the 4.0–5.5 million square kilometer post-2007 range, with trader emphasis on the 4.2–4.6 million square kilometer bins reflecting modest further decline before freeze-up begins. Model consensus and observational updates through early September will refine these odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ET
Volume
$74,729Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent NSIDC data show Arctic sea ice extent averaging 5.56 million square kilometers in August 2026, ranking seventh lowest on record amid a relatively cool high-latitude Arctic Ocean that slowed melt rates after earlier tracking near 2012 levels. The minimum, expected in mid-September, hinges on short-term weather patterns including storm activity, wind-driven ice transport, and regional temperatures in the Beaufort, Chukchi, and East Siberian seas, where open water has expanded. Statistical projections from current conditions and historical melt trajectories place the likely September value in the 4.0–5.5 million square kilometer post-2007 range, with trader emphasis on the 4.2–4.6 million square kilometer bins reflecting modest further decline before freeze-up begins. Model consensus and observational updates through early September will refine these odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$74,729Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent NSIDC data show Arctic sea ice extent averaging 5.56 million square kilometers in August 2026, ranking seventh lowest on record amid a relatively cool high-latitude Arctic Ocean that slowed melt rates after earlier tracking near 2012 levels. The minimum, expected in mid-September, hinges on short-term weather patterns including storm activity, wind-driven ice transport, and regional temperatures in the Beaufort, Chukchi, and East Siberian seas, where open water has expanded. Statistical projections from current conditions and historical melt trajectories place the likely September value in the 4.0–5.5 million square kilometer post-2007 range, with trader emphasis on the 4.2–4.6 million square kilometer bins reflecting modest further decline before freeze-up begins. Model consensus and observational updates through early September will refine these odds as resolution nears.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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