Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 24–25°C in Istanbul today under clear skies, moderate northeast winds around 15–25 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's strong 73.5% implied probability for 24°C. These stable high-pressure conditions and typical early-September climatology suppress daytime heating compared to peak summer, while hourly observations show temperatures climbing steadily toward but not exceeding the mid-20s. Model consensus remains tight with low uncertainty, though final resolution depends on the precise maximum recorded before midnight; any unexpected wind shift or cloud cover could nudge the outcome slightly higher or lower.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 8?
24°C 75%
25°C 16%
23°C 10%
26°C 4%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
75%
25°C
16%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 75%
25°C 16%
23°C 10%
26°C 4%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
75%
25°C
16%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 24–25°C in Istanbul today under clear skies, moderate northeast winds around 15–25 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's strong 73.5% implied probability for 24°C. These stable high-pressure conditions and typical early-September climatology suppress daytime heating compared to peak summer, while hourly observations show temperatures climbing steadily toward but not exceeding the mid-20s. Model consensus remains tight with low uncertainty, though final resolution depends on the precise maximum recorded before midnight; any unexpected wind shift or cloud cover could nudge the outcome slightly higher or lower.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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