Recent numerical weather prediction models show notable spread in projected maximum temperatures for Jeddah on September 10, with outputs ranging from the mid-30s to low-40s °C amid typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions. High humidity, light westerly winds, and variable afternoon cloud cover influence surface heating and sea-breeze moderation, keeping daily maxima near or slightly above the September climatological average of roughly 37–38 °C. Official guidance from agencies such as the Met Office leans toward 39–40 °C under mostly sunny skies, while other ensembles emphasize greater cloudiness or stronger onshore flow that could cap readings closer to 36–37 °C. This model disagreement, combined with the short two-day lead time before resolution, underpins the near-even market-implied odds between the 39 °C+ and lower thresholds. Updated runs from global and regional models in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 10?
37°C 25%
38°C 22%
36°C 21%
35°C 19%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
19%
36°C
21%
37°C
25%
38°C
22%
39°C or higher
10%
37°C 25%
38°C 22%
36°C 21%
35°C 19%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
19%
36°C
21%
37°C
25%
38°C
22%
39°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models show notable spread in projected maximum temperatures for Jeddah on September 10, with outputs ranging from the mid-30s to low-40s °C amid typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions. High humidity, light westerly winds, and variable afternoon cloud cover influence surface heating and sea-breeze moderation, keeping daily maxima near or slightly above the September climatological average of roughly 37–38 °C. Official guidance from agencies such as the Met Office leans toward 39–40 °C under mostly sunny skies, while other ensembles emphasize greater cloudiness or stronger onshore flow that could cap readings closer to 36–37 °C. This model disagreement, combined with the short two-day lead time before resolution, underpins the near-even market-implied odds between the 39 °C+ and lower thresholds. Updated runs from global and regional models in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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