Recent real-time observations and GFS/ECMWF model consensus show Istanbul under clear skies with northeasterly winds maintaining a daytime peak near 25°C, consistent with mid-September climatology around 24–26°C. Official station data from sites like Atatürk Airport and Kadıköy report afternoon readings climbing to but not exceeding this threshold amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover, producing strong market-implied odds for exactly 25°C. Minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing or brief sea-breeze effects could allow a 26°C spike, yet current pressure gradients and observed trends make such deviations improbable before evening stabilization. Final 24-hour maximum from authorized Turkish meteorological sources will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 10?
25°C 99.5%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$18,202 Vol.
$18,202 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.5%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$18,202 Vol.
$18,202 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent real-time observations and GFS/ECMWF model consensus show Istanbul under clear skies with northeasterly winds maintaining a daytime peak near 25°C, consistent with mid-September climatology around 24–26°C. Official station data from sites like Atatürk Airport and Kadıköy report afternoon readings climbing to but not exceeding this threshold amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover, producing strong market-implied odds for exactly 25°C. Minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing or brief sea-breeze effects could allow a 26°C spike, yet current pressure gradients and observed trends make such deviations improbable before evening stabilization. Final 24-hour maximum from authorized Turkish meteorological sources will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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