**Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS and European guidance, indicate a high temperature in Munich on September 10, 2026, most likely between 18–20°C.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes (19°C at 38.5%, 20°C at 24.5%, 18°C at 19.5%), reflecting trader consensus around the current model consensus. A cold front advancing from the northwest is driving the cooling trend after unusually warm conditions earlier in the week. Tuesday’s high reached near 30–32°C under sunny skies, but Wednesday’s widespread rain and the frontal passage are expected to drop highs to the low 20s°C. By Thursday, northeasterly flow, increased cloud cover, and stable post-frontal air are forecast to limit daytime heating, producing partly to mostly cloudy skies with only low precipitation chances. These conditions match historical September norms for Munich, where the long-term average daily maximum on September 10 is approximately 20.5°C. Ensemble spreads and minor differences among model runs (some showing 17°C, others 20–21°C) explain the probability distribution, with outcomes outside 18–20°C carrying lower implied odds. Additional official updates from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on September 10?
19°C 39%
20°C 24%
18°C 20%
21°C 14%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
20%
19°C
39%
20°C
24%
21°C
14%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 39%
20°C 24%
18°C 20%
21°C 14%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
20%
19°C
39%
20°C
24%
21°C
14%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources, including GFS and European guidance, indicate a high temperature in Munich on September 10, 2026, most likely between 18–20°C.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes (19°C at 38.5%, 20°C at 24.5%, 18°C at 19.5%), reflecting trader consensus around the current model consensus. A cold front advancing from the northwest is driving the cooling trend after unusually warm conditions earlier in the week. Tuesday’s high reached near 30–32°C under sunny skies, but Wednesday’s widespread rain and the frontal passage are expected to drop highs to the low 20s°C. By Thursday, northeasterly flow, increased cloud cover, and stable post-frontal air are forecast to limit daytime heating, producing partly to mostly cloudy skies with only low precipitation chances. These conditions match historical September norms for Munich, where the long-term average daily maximum on September 10 is approximately 20.5°C. Ensemble spreads and minor differences among model runs (some showing 17°C, others 20–21°C) explain the probability distribution, with outcomes outside 18–20°C carrying lower implied odds. Additional official updates from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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