Forecast consensus from National Weather Service models positions upper-90s highs as the most likely outcome for Austin on September 10, driven by persistent southerly flow and dew points near 70°F that sustain heat but limit extreme surface warming under partly cloudy skies. Recent days have featured maxima around 100°F amid similar humidity, with heat indices exceeding 106°F, aligning trader focus on the 98-99°F bin as the modal range. Limited afternoon shower chances and stable steering patterns reduce upside potential for 100°F-plus readings, while climatological averages near 92°F underscore the ongoing warm anomaly. Updated model runs and official observations through evening will determine final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on September 10?
98-99°F 55%
96-97°F 28%
92-93°F 6.2%
100-101°F 5%
$32,101 Vol.
$32,101 Vol.
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
55%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 55%
96-97°F 28%
92-93°F 6.2%
100-101°F 5%
$32,101 Vol.
$32,101 Vol.
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
55%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from National Weather Service models positions upper-90s highs as the most likely outcome for Austin on September 10, driven by persistent southerly flow and dew points near 70°F that sustain heat but limit extreme surface warming under partly cloudy skies. Recent days have featured maxima around 100°F amid similar humidity, with heat indices exceeding 106°F, aligning trader focus on the 98-99°F bin as the modal range. Limited afternoon shower chances and stable steering patterns reduce upside potential for 100°F-plus readings, while climatological averages near 92°F underscore the ongoing warm anomaly. Updated model runs and official observations through evening will determine final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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