Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Denver's overnight low on September 12 will likely settle near 59–60°F amid partly cloudy skies and a slight thunderstorm chance, supporting the market's elevated implied probabilities around the mid-50s. Radiative cooling under clearer nocturnal conditions could drive the minimum lower by allowing efficient heat loss from the surface, while increased cloud cover or moisture from afternoon convection may limit that drop through downward longwave radiation. Light southeast winds and dew points near 50°F further moderate extremes, with model consensus showing modest spread tied to exact timing of any clearing. These variables explain the tight clustering between 51°F or below and the 54–55°F range, as traders weigh historical September averages near 51°F against the warmer baseline this week. Updated NWS guidance tonight will refine resolution thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Denver on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 12?
51°F or below 51%
62-63°F 40%
54-55°F 31%
52-53°F 28%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 12, 2026
51°F or below
51%
52-53°F
28%
54-55°F
31%
56-57°F
28%
58-59°F
22%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
40%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
13%
70°F or higher
14%
51°F or below 51%
62-63°F 40%
54-55°F 31%
52-53°F 28%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 12, 2026
51°F or below
$0 Vol.
51%
52-53°F
$5 Vol.
28%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
31%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
28%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
22%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
22%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
40%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
13%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
13%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
13%
70°F or higher
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Denver's overnight low on September 12 will likely settle near 59–60°F amid partly cloudy skies and a slight thunderstorm chance, supporting the market's elevated implied probabilities around the mid-50s. Radiative cooling under clearer nocturnal conditions could drive the minimum lower by allowing efficient heat loss from the surface, while increased cloud cover or moisture from afternoon convection may limit that drop through downward longwave radiation. Light southeast winds and dew points near 50°F further moderate extremes, with model consensus showing modest spread tied to exact timing of any clearing. These variables explain the tight clustering between 51°F or below and the 54–55°F range, as traders weigh historical September averages near 51°F against the warmer baseline this week. Updated NWS guidance tonight will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$5Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Denver's overnight low on September 12 will likely settle near 59–60°F amid partly cloudy skies and a slight thunderstorm chance, supporting the market's elevated implied probabilities around the mid-50s. Radiative cooling under clearer nocturnal conditions could drive the minimum lower by allowing efficient heat loss from the surface, while increased cloud cover or moisture from afternoon convection may limit that drop through downward longwave radiation. Light southeast winds and dew points near 50°F further moderate extremes, with model consensus showing modest spread tied to exact timing of any clearing. These variables explain the tight clustering between 51°F or below and the 54–55°F range, as traders weigh historical September averages near 51°F against the warmer baseline this week. Updated NWS guidance tonight will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Denver's overnight low on September 12 will likely settle near 59–60°F amid partly cloudy skies and a slight thunderstorm chance, supporting the market's elevated implied probabilities around the mid-50s. Radiative cooling under clearer nocturnal conditions could drive the minimum lower by allowing efficient heat loss from the surface, while increased cloud cover or moisture from afternoon convection may limit that drop through downward longwave radiation. Light southeast winds and dew points near 50°F further moderate extremes, with model consensus showing modest spread tied to exact timing of any clearing. These variables explain the tight clustering between 51°F or below and the 54–55°F range, as traders weigh historical September averages near 51°F against the warmer baseline this week. Updated NWS guidance tonight will refine resolution thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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