Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a high near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and possible light rain, producing the market's leading 42.5% implied probability. Ensemble spreads show modest warming potential to 23°C but limited downside below 21°C given stable pressure patterns and mild Atlantic advection typical for mid-September. Updated model runs and observational data expected over the next 24 hours will likely tighten these ranges as the event nears resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 14?
22°C 43%
23°C 29%
21°C 17%
24°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
17%
22°C
43%
23°C
29%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
7%
22°C 43%
23°C 29%
21°C 17%
24°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
17%
22°C
43%
23°C
29%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a high near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and possible light rain, producing the market's leading 42.5% implied probability. Ensemble spreads show modest warming potential to 23°C but limited downside below 21°C given stable pressure patterns and mild Atlantic advection typical for mid-September. Updated model runs and observational data expected over the next 24 hours will likely tighten these ranges as the event nears resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong