Persistent southerly winds and clear skies under a strong high-pressure ridge are sustaining elevated overnight minimums near 80°F across Dallas, well above the 1991-2020 average low of about 71°F for September 14. National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a Monday night low in the upper 70s to low 80s, with limited model spread on steering patterns or moisture return. This setup explains the closely matched market-implied odds between sub-72°F and 80°F-plus bins, as traders weigh the potential for any subtle wind shift or increased cloud cover against the entrenched heat dome. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs on September 13 will provide the next key data points for overnight temperature resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Dallas on September 14?
71°F or below 83%
90°F or higher 76%
72-73°F 39%
88-89°F 39%
71°F or below
83%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
38%
88-89°F
39%
90°F or higher
76%
71°F or below 83%
90°F or higher 76%
72-73°F 39%
88-89°F 39%
71°F or below
83%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
38%
88-89°F
39%
90°F or higher
76%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly winds and clear skies under a strong high-pressure ridge are sustaining elevated overnight minimums near 80°F across Dallas, well above the 1991-2020 average low of about 71°F for September 14. National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a Monday night low in the upper 70s to low 80s, with limited model spread on steering patterns or moisture return. This setup explains the closely matched market-implied odds between sub-72°F and 80°F-plus bins, as traders weigh the potential for any subtle wind shift or increased cloud cover against the entrenched heat dome. Updated NWS guidance and evening model runs on September 13 will provide the next key data points for overnight temperature resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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