Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate London will see mostly cloudy skies with periods of rain and drizzle on September 13, limiting daytime heating. This setup, combined with moderate westerly flow, points to a maximum temperature near 22–23°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds of 36.5% for 23°C and 31.5% for 22°C. Persistent low cloud and precipitation reduce solar insolation compared with clear conditions, while the mild maritime air mass prevents sharper cooling. A temporary break in cloud could push readings to 24°C (14.5% odds) if showers remain light and scattered, whereas steadier rain would favor 21°C or lower. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the timing of any brighter intervals relative to peak heating hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in London on September 13?
23°C 37%
22°C 31%
24°C 15%
21°C 9.7%
$14,854 Vol.
$14,854 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
31%
23°C
37%
24°C
15%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
<1%
23°C 37%
22°C 31%
24°C 15%
21°C 9.7%
$14,854 Vol.
$14,854 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
31%
23°C
37%
24°C
15%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate London will see mostly cloudy skies with periods of rain and drizzle on September 13, limiting daytime heating. This setup, combined with moderate westerly flow, points to a maximum temperature near 22–23°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds of 36.5% for 23°C and 31.5% for 22°C. Persistent low cloud and precipitation reduce solar insolation compared with clear conditions, while the mild maritime air mass prevents sharper cooling. A temporary break in cloud could push readings to 24°C (14.5% odds) if showers remain light and scattered, whereas steadier rain would favor 21°C or lower. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the timing of any brighter intervals relative to peak heating hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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