Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional services indicate a daily high in Amsterdam on September 12 near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies, southwesterly flow, and light precipitation chances, aligning with the market’s strong weighting toward those outcomes. This reflects typical early-autumn conditions near the long-term average high of 19.5°C, without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky heating expected to push values higher. Model consensus shows limited spread, keeping 23°C or above at low implied probability while rendering cooler scenarios unlikely given current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to be pricing the tight forecast range and modest day-to-day stability ahead of official observations that will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 12?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 12?
22°C 56%
21°C 41%
20°C 4%
23°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
41%
22°C
56%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 56%
21°C 41%
20°C 4%
23°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
$93 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$506 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,770 Vol.
4%
21°C
$1,810 Vol.
41%
22°C
$2,617 Vol.
56%
23°C
$968 Vol.
3%
24°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$170 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional services indicate a daily high in Amsterdam on September 12 near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies, southwesterly flow, and light precipitation chances, aligning with the market’s strong weighting toward those outcomes. This reflects typical early-autumn conditions near the long-term average high of 19.5°C, without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky heating expected to push values higher. Model consensus shows limited spread, keeping 23°C or above at low implied probability while rendering cooler scenarios unlikely given current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to be pricing the tight forecast range and modest day-to-day stability ahead of official observations that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$8,786Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional services indicate a daily high in Amsterdam on September 12 near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies, southwesterly flow, and light precipitation chances, aligning with the market’s strong weighting toward those outcomes. This reflects typical early-autumn conditions near the long-term average high of 19.5°C, without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky heating expected to push values higher. Model consensus shows limited spread, keeping 23°C or above at low implied probability while rendering cooler scenarios unlikely given current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to be pricing the tight forecast range and modest day-to-day stability ahead of official observations that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,786Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional services indicate a daily high in Amsterdam on September 12 near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies, southwesterly flow, and light precipitation chances, aligning with the market’s strong weighting toward those outcomes. This reflects typical early-autumn conditions near the long-term average high of 19.5°C, without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky heating expected to push values higher. Model consensus shows limited spread, keeping 23°C or above at low implied probability while rendering cooler scenarios unlikely given current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to be pricing the tight forecast range and modest day-to-day stability ahead of official observations that will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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