Recent National Weather Service and model consensus for September 13 point to a warm, humid airmass with morning thunderstorms and lingering cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s across central NYC stations. High dew points near 70°F and widespread rain will limit surface heating through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation, while light southwesterly flow prevents stronger advection of warmer air. This setup explains the tight market split between 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins, with lower probabilities on extremes reflecting historical September averages near 77.5°F and the low likelihood of clearing skies or stronger southerly winds before peak heating. Updated afternoon model runs and observed rainfall totals will likely refine the final high.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on September 13?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 13?
78-79°F 32%
80-81°F 32%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 15%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 13, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 32%
80-81°F 32%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 15%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 13, 2026
73°F or below
$138 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$785 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$1,417 Vol.
15%
78-79°F
$2,490 Vol.
32%
80-81°F
$927 Vol.
32%
82-83°F
$1,364 Vol.
16%
84-85°F
$955 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$91 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$222 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$137 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$382 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus for September 13 point to a warm, humid airmass with morning thunderstorms and lingering cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s across central NYC stations. High dew points near 70°F and widespread rain will limit surface heating through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation, while light southwesterly flow prevents stronger advection of warmer air. This setup explains the tight market split between 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins, with lower probabilities on extremes reflecting historical September averages near 77.5°F and the low likelihood of clearing skies or stronger southerly winds before peak heating. Updated afternoon model runs and observed rainfall totals will likely refine the final high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$8,908Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus for September 13 point to a warm, humid airmass with morning thunderstorms and lingering cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s across central NYC stations. High dew points near 70°F and widespread rain will limit surface heating through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation, while light southwesterly flow prevents stronger advection of warmer air. This setup explains the tight market split between 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins, with lower probabilities on extremes reflecting historical September averages near 77.5°F and the low likelihood of clearing skies or stronger southerly winds before peak heating. Updated afternoon model runs and observed rainfall totals will likely refine the final high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,908Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus for September 13 point to a warm, humid airmass with morning thunderstorms and lingering cloud cover, keeping maximum temperatures clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s across central NYC stations. High dew points near 70°F and widespread rain will limit surface heating through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation, while light southwesterly flow prevents stronger advection of warmer air. This setup explains the tight market split between 78-79°F and 80-81°F bins, with lower probabilities on extremes reflecting historical September averages near 77.5°F and the low likelihood of clearing skies or stronger southerly winds before peak heating. Updated afternoon model runs and observed rainfall totals will likely refine the final high.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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