Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daytime peak of 31–33°C in Shenzhen on September 12, driven by subtropical high pressure, northeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h, and 60–80% humidity that limits rapid heating. Scattered cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms expected in the afternoon are moderating maximum temperatures below seasonal averages near 33°C. Morning observations climbing through 27–29°C align with the market-implied 32°C lead at 43% probability, while 31°C and 33°C options reflect minor forecast spread from differing model runs on precipitation timing. Updated guidance later today could shift odds if convection develops earlier than projected.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 12?
32°C 39%
33°C 37%
31°C 22%
34°C 4%
BAGO
$23,158 Vol.
BAGO
$23,158 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
22%
32°C
39%
33°C
37%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
33°C 37%
31°C 22%
34°C 4%
BAGO
$23,158 Vol.
BAGO
$23,158 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
27°C or below
$5,412 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,944 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,491 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,237 Vol.
2%
31°C
$4,753 Vol.
22%
32°C
$2,110 Vol.
39%
33°C
$1,868 Vol.
37%
34°C
$2,142 Vol.
4%
35°C
$849 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daytime peak of 31–33°C in Shenzhen on September 12, driven by subtropical high pressure, northeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h, and 60–80% humidity that limits rapid heating. Scattered cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms expected in the afternoon are moderating maximum temperatures below seasonal averages near 33°C. Morning observations climbing through 27–29°C align with the market-implied 32°C lead at 43% probability, while 31°C and 33°C options reflect minor forecast spread from differing model runs on precipitation timing. Updated guidance later today could shift odds if convection develops earlier than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$23,158Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daytime peak of 31–33°C in Shenzhen on September 12, driven by subtropical high pressure, northeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h, and 60–80% humidity that limits rapid heating. Scattered cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms expected in the afternoon are moderating maximum temperatures below seasonal averages near 33°C. Morning observations climbing through 27–29°C align with the market-implied 32°C lead at 43% probability, while 31°C and 33°C options reflect minor forecast spread from differing model runs on precipitation timing. Updated guidance later today could shift odds if convection develops earlier than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,158Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daytime peak of 31–33°C in Shenzhen on September 12, driven by subtropical high pressure, northeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h, and 60–80% humidity that limits rapid heating. Scattered cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms expected in the afternoon are moderating maximum temperatures below seasonal averages near 33°C. Morning observations climbing through 27–29°C align with the market-implied 32°C lead at 43% probability, while 31°C and 33°C options reflect minor forecast spread from differing model runs on precipitation timing. Updated guidance later today could shift odds if convection develops earlier than projected.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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