Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak temperature near 99–100°F in Austin on September 11 under persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies that allow strong daytime heating. With dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, heat indices will exceed 105°F, but the dry air mass and minimal cloud cover limit convective cooling. The tight split between the 98–99°F (45%) and 100–101°F (39.5%) buckets reflects modest uncertainty in afternoon mixing depth and any thin high-cloud veil that could shave a degree or two, versus clearer conditions or slightly stronger insolation that would push readings into the low 100s. Historical climatology shows early-September highs averaging 92°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth, while resolution hinges on the official Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on September 11?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 11?
98-99°F 46%
100-101°F 40%
96-97°F 10%
102-103°F 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 11, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
10%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
40%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
1%
98-99°F 46%
100-101°F 40%
96-97°F 10%
102-103°F 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 11, 2026
87°F or below
$386 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$47 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$108 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$115 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$87 Vol.
10%
98-99°F
$325 Vol.
46%
100-101°F
$1,488 Vol.
40%
102-103°F
$292 Vol.
7%
104-105°F
$68 Vol.
2%
106°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak temperature near 99–100°F in Austin on September 11 under persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies that allow strong daytime heating. With dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, heat indices will exceed 105°F, but the dry air mass and minimal cloud cover limit convective cooling. The tight split between the 98–99°F (45%) and 100–101°F (39.5%) buckets reflects modest uncertainty in afternoon mixing depth and any thin high-cloud veil that could shave a degree or two, versus clearer conditions or slightly stronger insolation that would push readings into the low 100s. Historical climatology shows early-September highs averaging 92°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth, while resolution hinges on the official Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,916Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak temperature near 99–100°F in Austin on September 11 under persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies that allow strong daytime heating. With dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, heat indices will exceed 105°F, but the dry air mass and minimal cloud cover limit convective cooling. The tight split between the 98–99°F (45%) and 100–101°F (39.5%) buckets reflects modest uncertainty in afternoon mixing depth and any thin high-cloud veil that could shave a degree or two, versus clearer conditions or slightly stronger insolation that would push readings into the low 100s. Historical climatology shows early-September highs averaging 92°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth, while resolution hinges on the official Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,916Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak temperature near 99–100°F in Austin on September 11 under persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies that allow strong daytime heating. With dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, heat indices will exceed 105°F, but the dry air mass and minimal cloud cover limit convective cooling. The tight split between the 98–99°F (45%) and 100–101°F (39.5%) buckets reflects modest uncertainty in afternoon mixing depth and any thin high-cloud veil that could shave a degree or two, versus clearer conditions or slightly stronger insolation that would push readings into the low 100s. Historical climatology shows early-September highs averaging 92°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth, while resolution hinges on the official Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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