Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Manila on September 12, 2026, under the influence of the southwest monsoon, or habagat, which brings widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms. These conditions suppress peak heating by limiting solar radiation while maintaining high humidity and dew points near 24–26°C. PAGASA advisories highlight thunderstorm development over the National Capital Region, consistent with typical September patterns where monsoon-enhanced convection caps daytime highs near the seasonal average of 31°C. Trader emphasis on 30–32°C outcomes aligns with this consensus from model runs and observational trends, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to the low likelihood of clear skies or unusual subsidence allowing temperatures above 33°C. Official resolution will depend on verified readings from stations such as Ninoy Aquino International Airport.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on September 12?
31°C 47%
30°C 38%
32°C 14%
34°C 2%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
35%
31°C
47%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 47%
30°C 38%
32°C 14%
34°C 2%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
35%
31°C
47%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum of 30–31°C in Manila on September 12, 2026, under the influence of the southwest monsoon, or habagat, which brings widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms. These conditions suppress peak heating by limiting solar radiation while maintaining high humidity and dew points near 24–26°C. PAGASA advisories highlight thunderstorm development over the National Capital Region, consistent with typical September patterns where monsoon-enhanced convection caps daytime highs near the seasonal average of 31°C. Trader emphasis on 30–32°C outcomes aligns with this consensus from model runs and observational trends, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to the low likelihood of clear skies or unusual subsidence allowing temperatures above 33°C. Official resolution will depend on verified readings from stations such as Ninoy Aquino International Airport.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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