Recent model runs from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature in Busan on September 14 near 21–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This range aligns with the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around 20–26 °C, reflecting uncertainty in the precise overnight low. Key differentiating factors include the rate of nocturnal radiative cooling over land, moderated by residual warmth from the Sea of Japan (still near seasonal norms), variable low-level moisture that could limit clear-sky cooling, and subtle shifts in wind speed that enhance or suppress boundary-layer mixing. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution of outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Busan on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Busan on September 14?
16°C or below 81%
26°C or higher 45%
21°C 35%
20°C 32%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 14, 2026
16°C or below
81%
17°C
28%
18°C
28%
19°C
24%
20°C
32%
21°C
35%
22°C
17%
23°C
28%
24°C
28%
25°C
28%
26°C or higher
45%
16°C or below 81%
26°C or higher 45%
21°C 35%
20°C 32%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 14, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
81%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$6 Vol.
24%
20°C
$0 Vol.
32%
21°C
$0 Vol.
35%
22°C
$0 Vol.
17%
23°C
$0 Vol.
28%
24°C
$0 Vol.
28%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature in Busan on September 14 near 21–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This range aligns with the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around 20–26 °C, reflecting uncertainty in the precise overnight low. Key differentiating factors include the rate of nocturnal radiative cooling over land, moderated by residual warmth from the Sea of Japan (still near seasonal norms), variable low-level moisture that could limit clear-sky cooling, and subtle shifts in wind speed that enhance or suppress boundary-layer mixing. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution of outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$6Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature in Busan on September 14 near 21–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This range aligns with the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around 20–26 °C, reflecting uncertainty in the precise overnight low. Key differentiating factors include the rate of nocturnal radiative cooling over land, moderated by residual warmth from the Sea of Japan (still near seasonal norms), variable low-level moisture that could limit clear-sky cooling, and subtle shifts in wind speed that enhance or suppress boundary-layer mixing. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution of outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature in Busan on September 14 near 21–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This range aligns with the closely matched market-implied probabilities clustered around 20–26 °C, reflecting uncertainty in the precise overnight low. Key differentiating factors include the rate of nocturnal radiative cooling over land, moderated by residual warmth from the Sea of Japan (still near seasonal norms), variable low-level moisture that could limit clear-sky cooling, and subtle shifts in wind speed that enhance or suppress boundary-layer mixing. Updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution of outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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