Current high-pressure dominance and clear skies over Buenos Aires are driving strong nocturnal radiative cooling, with recent model runs from agencies like the National Meteorological Service showing potential overnight lows near 3–6°C on September 14 amid a cool early-spring air mass. This setup, following a recent minimum of 2.4°C earlier in the month, supports the market-implied 70.5% odds on 2°C or below as the leading outcome, though forecast spread and minor warming trends introduce uncertainty. Traders appear to weigh the stable anticyclonic conditions and dry northerly flow against typical September baselines around 8–10°C lows. Updated model consensus and any last-minute observational shifts will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 14?
2°C or below 76%
12°C or higher 37%
5°C 35%
6°C 35%
2°C or below
76%
3°C
20%
4°C
6%
5°C
35%
6°C
35%
7°C
35%
8°C
35%
9°C
14%
10°C
13%
11°C
14%
12°C or higher
37%
2°C or below 76%
12°C or higher 37%
5°C 35%
6°C 35%
2°C or below
76%
3°C
20%
4°C
6%
5°C
35%
6°C
35%
7°C
35%
8°C
35%
9°C
14%
10°C
13%
11°C
14%
12°C or higher
37%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current high-pressure dominance and clear skies over Buenos Aires are driving strong nocturnal radiative cooling, with recent model runs from agencies like the National Meteorological Service showing potential overnight lows near 3–6°C on September 14 amid a cool early-spring air mass. This setup, following a recent minimum of 2.4°C earlier in the month, supports the market-implied 70.5% odds on 2°C or below as the leading outcome, though forecast spread and minor warming trends introduce uncertainty. Traders appear to weigh the stable anticyclonic conditions and dry northerly flow against typical September baselines around 8–10°C lows. Updated model consensus and any last-minute observational shifts will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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