**Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF runs position the highest temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 14 around 25–27 °C.** Northwest winds and a drier air mass following scattered showers on the 13th are expected to limit daytime heating, with partly cloudy skies and low precipitation chances supporting a peak near 26 °C as the modal outcome. Model consensus shows limited spread, with most guidance converging on 25–26 °C highs under stable high-pressure influence typical for mid-September climatology in the region. Trader positioning reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with implied probabilities favoring 25–26 °C while assigning modest weight to a possible 27 °C outlier if clearing allows stronger insolation. Updated model runs and KMA briefings ahead of the 14th will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
26°C 50%
25°C 30%
27°C 14%
24°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
30%
26°C
50%
27°C
14%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 50%
25°C 30%
27°C 14%
24°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
30%
26°C
50%
27°C
14%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF runs position the highest temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 14 around 25–27 °C.** Northwest winds and a drier air mass following scattered showers on the 13th are expected to limit daytime heating, with partly cloudy skies and low precipitation chances supporting a peak near 26 °C as the modal outcome. Model consensus shows limited spread, with most guidance converging on 25–26 °C highs under stable high-pressure influence typical for mid-September climatology in the region. Trader positioning reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with implied probabilities favoring 25–26 °C while assigning modest weight to a possible 27 °C outlier if clearing allows stronger insolation. Updated model runs and KMA briefings ahead of the 14th will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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