Trader consensus on Shenzhen's September 13 peak temperature clusters tightly at 30–31°C because the latest global and regional model ensembles show daytime maxima hovering near 30.5°C under a weakening subtropical ridge. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and convective initiation timing, which can suppress afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside urban heat-island amplification from the city's dense infrastructure that reliably adds 0.5–1°C to official readings. Ensemble spread remains modest given stable steering patterns and minimal typhoon influence this week, though any shift in low-level moisture or wind speed could tip the balance toward either leading outcome before the China Meteorological Administration's final 24-hour maximum is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 13?
31°C 29%
30°C 28%
32°C 16%
29°C 14%
$12,228 Vol.
$12,228 Vol.
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
14%
30°C
28%
31°C
29%
32°C
16%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 29%
30°C 28%
32°C 16%
29°C 14%
$12,228 Vol.
$12,228 Vol.
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
14%
30°C
28%
31°C
29%
32°C
16%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Shenzhen's September 13 peak temperature clusters tightly at 30–31°C because the latest global and regional model ensembles show daytime maxima hovering near 30.5°C under a weakening subtropical ridge. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and convective initiation timing, which can suppress afternoon heating by 1–2°C, alongside urban heat-island amplification from the city's dense infrastructure that reliably adds 0.5–1°C to official readings. Ensemble spread remains modest given stable steering patterns and minimal typhoon influence this week, though any shift in low-level moisture or wind speed could tip the balance toward either leading outcome before the China Meteorological Administration's final 24-hour maximum is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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