Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14 most likely near 31–33 °C, driven by expected cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Steep humidity gradients and light northeasterly winds are expected to further moderate peak values, keeping readings below the long-term September average high of 32 °C while reducing the chance of brief afternoon spikes to 34 °C or higher. Model consensus shows only modest spread in maximum temperatures, reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity rather than large discrepancies in overall atmospheric setup. Traders appear to weigh these near-term meteorological variables heavily, with the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 32–34 °C underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes under current conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
33°C 25%
32°C 20%
34°C 19%
31°C 16%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
9%
31°C
16%
32°C
20%
33°C
25%
34°C
19%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
7%
33°C 25%
32°C 20%
34°C 19%
31°C 16%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
9%
31°C
16%
32°C
20%
33°C
25%
34°C
19%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14 most likely near 31–33 °C, driven by expected cloud cover and widespread showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Steep humidity gradients and light northeasterly winds are expected to further moderate peak values, keeping readings below the long-term September average high of 32 °C while reducing the chance of brief afternoon spikes to 34 °C or higher. Model consensus shows only modest spread in maximum temperatures, reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity rather than large discrepancies in overall atmospheric setup. Traders appear to weigh these near-term meteorological variables heavily, with the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 32–34 °C underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes under current conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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