Persistent high humidity and a warm air mass kept overnight lows elevated in Houston on September 14, 2026, with southeast winds limiting radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service highlighted a heat advisory and projected lows in the upper 70s amid scattered coastal storms that failed to deliver meaningful temperature drops. This aligns with recent climatological trends showing September minima often above the 1991–2020 average of 73 °F, reinforced by the prior week’s pattern of daily lows near 77–80 °F. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 78–79 °F bin as traders incorporate real-time model consensus and station data thresholds, while lower ranges remain improbable absent an unexpected frontal passage or measurement revision.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Houston on September 14?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$1,794 Vol.
$1,794 Vol.
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$1,794 Vol.
$1,794 Vol.
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Persistent high humidity and a warm air mass kept overnight lows elevated in Houston on September 14, 2026, with southeast winds limiting radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service highlighted a heat advisory and projected lows in the upper 70s amid scattered coastal storms that failed to deliver meaningful temperature drops. This aligns with recent climatological trends showing September minima often above the 1991–2020 average of 73 °F, reinforced by the prior week’s pattern of daily lows near 77–80 °F. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 78–79 °F bin as traders incorporate real-time model consensus and station data thresholds, while lower ranges remain improbable absent an unexpected frontal passage or measurement revision.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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