Forecast models show persistent rain, northeasterly winds, and extensive cloud cover suppressing daytime heating over Tokyo on September 16, keeping maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s°C range rather than the seasonal norm near 27°C. Evaporative cooling from steady precipitation combined with reduced solar insolation and advection of cooler maritime air from the northeast supports the market-implied probabilities favoring 23°C or 24°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread in peak values, though slight variations in rain timing or wind strength could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical September baselines when assessing the narrow odds between the two leading outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 16?
24°C 39%
23°C 36%
25°C 12%
22°C 7%
BAGO
$40,560 Vol.
BAGO
$40,560 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
36%
24°C
39%
25°C
12%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
23°C 36%
25°C 12%
22°C 7%
BAGO
$40,560 Vol.
BAGO
$40,560 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
$614 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,348 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$653 Vol.
1%
22°C
$909 Vol.
7%
23°C
$2,732 Vol.
36%
24°C
$4,658 Vol.
39%
25°C
$19,531 Vol.
12%
26°C
$4,273 Vol.
3%
27°C
$1,462 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,161 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$3,219 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models show persistent rain, northeasterly winds, and extensive cloud cover suppressing daytime heating over Tokyo on September 16, keeping maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s°C range rather than the seasonal norm near 27°C. Evaporative cooling from steady precipitation combined with reduced solar insolation and advection of cooler maritime air from the northeast supports the market-implied probabilities favoring 23°C or 24°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread in peak values, though slight variations in rain timing or wind strength could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical September baselines when assessing the narrow odds between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$40,560Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models show persistent rain, northeasterly winds, and extensive cloud cover suppressing daytime heating over Tokyo on September 16, keeping maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s°C range rather than the seasonal norm near 27°C. Evaporative cooling from steady precipitation combined with reduced solar insolation and advection of cooler maritime air from the northeast supports the market-implied probabilities favoring 23°C or 24°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread in peak values, though slight variations in rain timing or wind strength could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical September baselines when assessing the narrow odds between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,560Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models show persistent rain, northeasterly winds, and extensive cloud cover suppressing daytime heating over Tokyo on September 16, keeping maximum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s°C range rather than the seasonal norm near 27°C. Evaporative cooling from steady precipitation combined with reduced solar insolation and advection of cooler maritime air from the northeast supports the market-implied probabilities favoring 23°C or 24°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread in peak values, though slight variations in rain timing or wind strength could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical September baselines when assessing the narrow odds between the two leading outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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