Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including MetService-aligned outlooks and Weather Atlas data, converge on a maximum temperature of 16°C for Wellington on September 15 under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with lows near 11°C and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 16°C at 61% implied probability, as the setup reflects a mild spring pattern slightly above the September climatological average high of 12.5–15°C. Stable high pressure and northerly advection limit cooling, while model agreement reduces uncertainty around the daily peak. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine any minor adjustments from wind shifts or cloud cover before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on September 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 15?
16°C 65%
15°C 19%
17°C 14%
14°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
19%
16°C
65%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 65%
15°C 19%
17°C 14%
14°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
$182 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$554 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,151 Vol.
3%
15°C
$2,007 Vol.
19%
16°C
$1,338 Vol.
65%
17°C
$1,488 Vol.
14%
18°C
$698 Vol.
1%
19°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including MetService-aligned outlooks and Weather Atlas data, converge on a maximum temperature of 16°C for Wellington on September 15 under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with lows near 11°C and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 16°C at 61% implied probability, as the setup reflects a mild spring pattern slightly above the September climatological average high of 12.5–15°C. Stable high pressure and northerly advection limit cooling, while model agreement reduces uncertainty around the daily peak. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine any minor adjustments from wind shifts or cloud cover before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$8,196Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including MetService-aligned outlooks and Weather Atlas data, converge on a maximum temperature of 16°C for Wellington on September 15 under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with lows near 11°C and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 16°C at 61% implied probability, as the setup reflects a mild spring pattern slightly above the September climatological average high of 12.5–15°C. Stable high pressure and northerly advection limit cooling, while model agreement reduces uncertainty around the daily peak. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine any minor adjustments from wind shifts or cloud cover before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,196Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including MetService-aligned outlooks and Weather Atlas data, converge on a maximum temperature of 16°C for Wellington on September 15 under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with lows near 11°C and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 16°C at 61% implied probability, as the setup reflects a mild spring pattern slightly above the September climatological average high of 12.5–15°C. Stable high pressure and northerly advection limit cooling, while model agreement reduces uncertainty around the daily peak. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine any minor adjustments from wind shifts or cloud cover before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong