Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate an overnight low near 13°C in Amsterdam on September 16, driven by a mild Atlantic air mass, persistent cloud cover, and light westerly winds that limit radiative cooling. Showers expected through the period will further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing and preventing clear-sky heat loss, consistent with the historical average low of 11°C for the date. Model consensus remains tight on the daily minimum but shows minor divergence on exact timing of any clearer breaks, which could allow brief additional cooling below 12°C or keep readings closer to 14°C depending on wind shifts and precipitation intensity. This genuine near-term uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour model runs, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across temperature bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 16?
18°C or higher 98%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 16, 2026
8°C or below
2%
9°C
20%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C or higher
98%
18°C or higher 98%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 16, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
9°C
$0 Vol.
20%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate an overnight low near 13°C in Amsterdam on September 16, driven by a mild Atlantic air mass, persistent cloud cover, and light westerly winds that limit radiative cooling. Showers expected through the period will further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing and preventing clear-sky heat loss, consistent with the historical average low of 11°C for the date. Model consensus remains tight on the daily minimum but shows minor divergence on exact timing of any clearer breaks, which could allow brief additional cooling below 12°C or keep readings closer to 14°C depending on wind shifts and precipitation intensity. This genuine near-term uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour model runs, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across temperature bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate an overnight low near 13°C in Amsterdam on September 16, driven by a mild Atlantic air mass, persistent cloud cover, and light westerly winds that limit radiative cooling. Showers expected through the period will further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing and preventing clear-sky heat loss, consistent with the historical average low of 11°C for the date. Model consensus remains tight on the daily minimum but shows minor divergence on exact timing of any clearer breaks, which could allow brief additional cooling below 12°C or keep readings closer to 14°C depending on wind shifts and precipitation intensity. This genuine near-term uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour model runs, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across temperature bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate an overnight low near 13°C in Amsterdam on September 16, driven by a mild Atlantic air mass, persistent cloud cover, and light westerly winds that limit radiative cooling. Showers expected through the period will further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing and preventing clear-sky heat loss, consistent with the historical average low of 11°C for the date. Model consensus remains tight on the daily minimum but shows minor divergence on exact timing of any clearer breaks, which could allow brief additional cooling below 12°C or keep readings closer to 14°C depending on wind shifts and precipitation intensity. This genuine near-term uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour model runs, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds across temperature bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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