Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to increasing cloud cover and a 20-30% chance of showers or thunderstorms on September 17 as an easterly flow replaces southerly winds, limiting afternoon heating and producing the market's tight clustering around 94-99°F. This setup contrasts with the hotter, sunnier conditions of the prior two days that reached 98-101°F. Historical averages near 91°F provide baseline context, yet 2023-2025 Septembers ran several degrees warmer. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and coverage of midday clouds per official Austin-Bergstrom observations, with the next model runs and NWS updates likely to sharpen the distribution across the leading bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on September 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 17?
96-97°F 40%
98-99°F 40%
94-95°F 35%
102-103°F 20%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 17, 2026
85°F or below
7%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
19%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
40%
98-99°F
40%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
20%
104°F or higher
14%
96-97°F 40%
98-99°F 40%
94-95°F 35%
102-103°F 20%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 17, 2026
85°F or below
$0 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
10%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
14%
92-93°F
$8 Vol.
19%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
35%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
40%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
40%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
14%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
20%
104°F or higher
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to increasing cloud cover and a 20-30% chance of showers or thunderstorms on September 17 as an easterly flow replaces southerly winds, limiting afternoon heating and producing the market's tight clustering around 94-99°F. This setup contrasts with the hotter, sunnier conditions of the prior two days that reached 98-101°F. Historical averages near 91°F provide baseline context, yet 2023-2025 Septembers ran several degrees warmer. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and coverage of midday clouds per official Austin-Bergstrom observations, with the next model runs and NWS updates likely to sharpen the distribution across the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$8Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to increasing cloud cover and a 20-30% chance of showers or thunderstorms on September 17 as an easterly flow replaces southerly winds, limiting afternoon heating and producing the market's tight clustering around 94-99°F. This setup contrasts with the hotter, sunnier conditions of the prior two days that reached 98-101°F. Historical averages near 91°F provide baseline context, yet 2023-2025 Septembers ran several degrees warmer. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and coverage of midday clouds per official Austin-Bergstrom observations, with the next model runs and NWS updates likely to sharpen the distribution across the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to increasing cloud cover and a 20-30% chance of showers or thunderstorms on September 17 as an easterly flow replaces southerly winds, limiting afternoon heating and producing the market's tight clustering around 94-99°F. This setup contrasts with the hotter, sunnier conditions of the prior two days that reached 98-101°F. Historical averages near 91°F provide baseline context, yet 2023-2025 Septembers ran several degrees warmer. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and coverage of midday clouds per official Austin-Bergstrom observations, with the next model runs and NWS updates likely to sharpen the distribution across the leading bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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