Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project overnight lows in the mid-70s Fahrenheit for Austin on September 16, 2026, under persistent high pressure and southerly winds advecting warm, humid Gulf air with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This setup favors radiational cooling limited by dew points near 70°F, keeping minimum temperatures well above the historical average low of 67.7°F for the date. Trader sentiment splitting between sub-69°F and 88°F+ outcomes likely reflects model uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any subtle shifts in steering currents, as even small changes in wind speed or nocturnal cloud development can alter the diurnal temperature range by several degrees. Updated model runs from the National Weather Service will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Austin on September 16?
69°F or below 97%
88°F or higher 97%
72-73°F 39%
78-79°F 39%
69°F or below
97%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88°F or higher
97%
69°F or below 97%
88°F or higher 97%
72-73°F 39%
78-79°F 39%
69°F or below
97%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88°F or higher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project overnight lows in the mid-70s Fahrenheit for Austin on September 16, 2026, under persistent high pressure and southerly winds advecting warm, humid Gulf air with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This setup favors radiational cooling limited by dew points near 70°F, keeping minimum temperatures well above the historical average low of 67.7°F for the date. Trader sentiment splitting between sub-69°F and 88°F+ outcomes likely reflects model uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any subtle shifts in steering currents, as even small changes in wind speed or nocturnal cloud development can alter the diurnal temperature range by several degrees. Updated model runs from the National Weather Service will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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