Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 16 project a high near 100°F under sunny to partly cloudy skies, sustained southerly to southeasterly winds, and heat index values near 105°F, consistent with a stable late-summer high-pressure pattern across North Texas. Multiple model runs, including GFS guidance, show minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture that would cap temperatures below the upper 90s. Trader consensus heavily favoring the 98–101°F bins aligns with this model agreement and historical September climatology, where Dallas highs frequently reach the upper 90s amid clear conditions; slight downside risk to 96–97°F or upside to 102°F+ would require unexpected cloud build-up or stronger mixing, neither of which appears in current guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Dallas on September 16?
98-99°F 61%
100-101°F 28%
96-97°F 7%
104-105°F 5%
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
61%
100-101°F
28%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 61%
100-101°F 28%
96-97°F 7%
104-105°F 5%
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
61%
100-101°F
28%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 16 project a high near 100°F under sunny to partly cloudy skies, sustained southerly to southeasterly winds, and heat index values near 105°F, consistent with a stable late-summer high-pressure pattern across North Texas. Multiple model runs, including GFS guidance, show minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture that would cap temperatures below the upper 90s. Trader consensus heavily favoring the 98–101°F bins aligns with this model agreement and historical September climatology, where Dallas highs frequently reach the upper 90s amid clear conditions; slight downside risk to 96–97°F or upside to 102°F+ would require unexpected cloud build-up or stronger mixing, neither of which appears in current guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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