Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 15 project a high near 100°F under sunny skies, light southerly flow, and continued heat-advisory conditions with heat indices near 105°F. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for the 100-101°F (52%) and 98-99°F (35.5%) bins, reflecting model consensus on minimal cloud cover or moisture that would suppress maximum temperatures. Persistent high pressure and above-normal seasonal warmth—following multiple triple-digit days—anchor trader sentiment, though slight forecast revisions in afternoon mixing or wind could shift the official reading by a degree or two at the primary observation site. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Dallas on September 15?
100-101°F 52%
98-99°F 34%
102-103°F 9%
96-97°F 5%
91°F or below
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
34%
100-101°F
52%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
3%
110°F or higher
2%
100-101°F 52%
98-99°F 34%
102-103°F 9%
96-97°F 5%
91°F or below
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
34%
100-101°F
52%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
3%
110°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 15 project a high near 100°F under sunny skies, light southerly flow, and continued heat-advisory conditions with heat indices near 105°F. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for the 100-101°F (52%) and 98-99°F (35.5%) bins, reflecting model consensus on minimal cloud cover or moisture that would suppress maximum temperatures. Persistent high pressure and above-normal seasonal warmth—following multiple triple-digit days—anchor trader sentiment, though slight forecast revisions in afternoon mixing or wind could shift the official reading by a degree or two at the primary observation site. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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