Warm overnight conditions in Houston on September 15, 2026, driven by high dew points near 75–78°F, light southeast winds, and mostly clear skies limited radiative cooling and kept the daily minimum elevated. National Weather Service and local observations indicated a low near 80–81°F under a persistent warm, humid air mass with heat indices above 105°F during the day. This setup aligned closely with the 78–79°F outcome, which traders priced at 86% implied probability. Historical September averages near 73°F underscore the anomaly, while the absence of frontal passages or stronger northerly flow reduced chances for cooler readings in the 71–75°F range. Updated model consensus and preliminary station data from Hobby and Intercontinental airports reinforced this positioning ahead of final verification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Houston on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 15?
78-79°F 98%
71°F or below 69%
72-73°F 69%
74-75°F 68%
$1,043 Vol.
$1,043 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
71°F or below
69%
72-73°F
69%
74-75°F
68%
76-77°F
45%
78-79°F
92%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 98%
71°F or below 69%
72-73°F 69%
74-75°F 68%
$1,043 Vol.
$1,043 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
69%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
69%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
68%
76-77°F
$80 Vol.
45%
78-79°F
$124 Vol.
92%
80-81°F
$708 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$82 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$16 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$16 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm overnight conditions in Houston on September 15, 2026, driven by high dew points near 75–78°F, light southeast winds, and mostly clear skies limited radiative cooling and kept the daily minimum elevated. National Weather Service and local observations indicated a low near 80–81°F under a persistent warm, humid air mass with heat indices above 105°F during the day. This setup aligned closely with the 78–79°F outcome, which traders priced at 86% implied probability. Historical September averages near 73°F underscore the anomaly, while the absence of frontal passages or stronger northerly flow reduced chances for cooler readings in the 71–75°F range. Updated model consensus and preliminary station data from Hobby and Intercontinental airports reinforced this positioning ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$1,043Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm overnight conditions in Houston on September 15, 2026, driven by high dew points near 75–78°F, light southeast winds, and mostly clear skies limited radiative cooling and kept the daily minimum elevated. National Weather Service and local observations indicated a low near 80–81°F under a persistent warm, humid air mass with heat indices above 105°F during the day. This setup aligned closely with the 78–79°F outcome, which traders priced at 86% implied probability. Historical September averages near 73°F underscore the anomaly, while the absence of frontal passages or stronger northerly flow reduced chances for cooler readings in the 71–75°F range. Updated model consensus and preliminary station data from Hobby and Intercontinental airports reinforced this positioning ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,043Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Warm overnight conditions in Houston on September 15, 2026, driven by high dew points near 75–78°F, light southeast winds, and mostly clear skies limited radiative cooling and kept the daily minimum elevated. National Weather Service and local observations indicated a low near 80–81°F under a persistent warm, humid air mass with heat indices above 105°F during the day. This setup aligned closely with the 78–79°F outcome, which traders priced at 86% implied probability. Historical September averages near 73°F underscore the anomaly, while the absence of frontal passages or stronger northerly flow reduced chances for cooler readings in the 71–75°F range. Updated model consensus and preliminary station data from Hobby and Intercontinental airports reinforced this positioning ahead of final verification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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