Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 16 project a daytime maximum of 31°C under northeast monsoon influence and high-pressure subsidence, with skies clearing after early clouds and low shower risk. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions where monsoon flow suppresses convection while allowing insolation to drive temperatures into the low 30s. Market-implied odds favor 31°C most heavily, followed by 30°C and 32°C, reflecting consensus around the official range of 27–31°C and limited model spread on steering or intensification factors. Recent station data show morning readings near 27–28°C with steady easterly winds, supporting the outlook ahead of afternoon peak heating.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
31°C 49%
30°C 29%
32°C 19%
29°C 5%
$39,832 Vol.
$39,832 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
29%
31°C
49%
32°C
19%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
30°C 29%
32°C 19%
29°C 5%
$39,832 Vol.
$39,832 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
29%
31°C
49%
32°C
19%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 16 project a daytime maximum of 31°C under northeast monsoon influence and high-pressure subsidence, with skies clearing after early clouds and low shower risk. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions where monsoon flow suppresses convection while allowing insolation to drive temperatures into the low 30s. Market-implied odds favor 31°C most heavily, followed by 30°C and 32°C, reflecting consensus around the official range of 27–31°C and limited model spread on steering or intensification factors. Recent station data show morning readings near 27–28°C with steady easterly winds, supporting the outlook ahead of afternoon peak heating.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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