Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies points to a daytime high of 32–34°C in Guangzhou on September 15, driven by lingering monsoon moisture, high humidity near 70%, and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative heating while supporting afternoon convection. Trader emphasis on 34°C as the marginal favorite reflects ensemble spread showing occasional warmer members if breaks in cloud cover allow greater insolation, versus lower odds for 32°C if heavier rain develops earlier. Historical September averages near 32°C provide context, but current steering patterns and soil moisture from prior days keep the precise peak uncertain until updated runs refine timing and intensity.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 15?
34°C 33%
35°C 25%
33°C 23%
32°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 15, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
23%
34°C
33%
35°C
25%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
2%
34°C 33%
35°C 25%
33°C 23%
32°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 15, 2026
27°C or below
$142 Vol.
1%
28°C
$68 Vol.
1%
29°C
$9 Vol.
1%
30°C
$50 Vol.
2%
31°C
$88 Vol.
5%
32°C
$28 Vol.
14%
33°C
$39 Vol.
23%
34°C
$19 Vol.
33%
35°C
$148 Vol.
25%
36°C
$328 Vol.
6%
37°C or higher
$59 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies points to a daytime high of 32–34°C in Guangzhou on September 15, driven by lingering monsoon moisture, high humidity near 70%, and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative heating while supporting afternoon convection. Trader emphasis on 34°C as the marginal favorite reflects ensemble spread showing occasional warmer members if breaks in cloud cover allow greater insolation, versus lower odds for 32°C if heavier rain develops earlier. Historical September averages near 32°C provide context, but current steering patterns and soil moisture from prior days keep the precise peak uncertain until updated runs refine timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volume
$979Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies points to a daytime high of 32–34°C in Guangzhou on September 15, driven by lingering monsoon moisture, high humidity near 70%, and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative heating while supporting afternoon convection. Trader emphasis on 34°C as the marginal favorite reflects ensemble spread showing occasional warmer members if breaks in cloud cover allow greater insolation, versus lower odds for 32°C if heavier rain develops earlier. Historical September averages near 32°C provide context, but current steering patterns and soil moisture from prior days keep the precise peak uncertain until updated runs refine timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$979Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies points to a daytime high of 32–34°C in Guangzhou on September 15, driven by lingering monsoon moisture, high humidity near 70%, and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative heating while supporting afternoon convection. Trader emphasis on 34°C as the marginal favorite reflects ensemble spread showing occasional warmer members if breaks in cloud cover allow greater insolation, versus lower odds for 32°C if heavier rain develops earlier. Historical September averages near 32°C provide context, but current steering patterns and soil moisture from prior days keep the precise peak uncertain until updated runs refine timing and intensity.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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