**Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport confirm a minimum temperature of 81°F on September 15, 2026, aligning with the market’s dominant 80-81°F outcome at 97.5% implied probability.** Persistent late-summer heat under clear skies, southerly winds, and strong warm-air advection kept overnight lows elevated well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~70°F. The day’s maximum reached 101°F amid an ongoing heat wave with multiple triple-digit readings and no measurable precipitation to promote radiational cooling. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders’ confidence in NWS station data as the resolution source. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or use of an alternate station could shift the recorded minimum outside the 80-81°F bin.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Dallas on September 15?
80-81°F 98%
78-79°F 89%
73°F or below 19%
74-75°F 18%
$818 Vol.
$818 Vol.
73°F or below
19%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
89%
80-81°F
98%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 98%
78-79°F 89%
73°F or below 19%
74-75°F 18%
$818 Vol.
$818 Vol.
73°F or below
19%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
89%
80-81°F
98%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport confirm a minimum temperature of 81°F on September 15, 2026, aligning with the market’s dominant 80-81°F outcome at 97.5% implied probability.** Persistent late-summer heat under clear skies, southerly winds, and strong warm-air advection kept overnight lows elevated well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~70°F. The day’s maximum reached 101°F amid an ongoing heat wave with multiple triple-digit readings and no measurable precipitation to promote radiational cooling. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders’ confidence in NWS station data as the resolution source. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or use of an alternate station could shift the recorded minimum outside the 80-81°F bin.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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