National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for September 14 point to a maximum temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent onshore southwest flow and a typical September marine layer along the coast are moderating daytime heating, with patchy morning low clouds clearing to mostly sunny skies and light winds. This setup follows recent hotter inland conditions earlier in the month but reflects a return to near-climatological norms for the Los Angeles basin, where the 1991-2020 average high is about 76°F. Traders appear to weigh the stable model agreement and limited upside potential from any delayed clearing or stronger heating against minor risks of slight underperformance if fog lingers. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 14?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 14?
78-79°F 45%
80-81°F 28%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 14, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 45%
80-81°F 28%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 14, 2026
67°F or below
$474 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$524 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$475 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$230 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$236 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$1,922 Vol.
16%
78-79°F
$1,772 Vol.
45%
80-81°F
$1,023 Vol.
28%
82-83°F
$316 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$183 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$191 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for September 14 point to a maximum temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent onshore southwest flow and a typical September marine layer along the coast are moderating daytime heating, with patchy morning low clouds clearing to mostly sunny skies and light winds. This setup follows recent hotter inland conditions earlier in the month but reflects a return to near-climatological norms for the Los Angeles basin, where the 1991-2020 average high is about 76°F. Traders appear to weigh the stable model agreement and limited upside potential from any delayed clearing or stronger heating against minor risks of slight underperformance if fog lingers. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,345Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for September 14 point to a maximum temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent onshore southwest flow and a typical September marine layer along the coast are moderating daytime heating, with patchy morning low clouds clearing to mostly sunny skies and light winds. This setup follows recent hotter inland conditions earlier in the month but reflects a return to near-climatological norms for the Los Angeles basin, where the 1991-2020 average high is about 76°F. Traders appear to weigh the stable model agreement and limited upside potential from any delayed clearing or stronger heating against minor risks of slight underperformance if fog lingers. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,345Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for September 14 point to a maximum temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent onshore southwest flow and a typical September marine layer along the coast are moderating daytime heating, with patchy morning low clouds clearing to mostly sunny skies and light winds. This setup follows recent hotter inland conditions earlier in the month but reflects a return to near-climatological norms for the Los Angeles basin, where the 1991-2020 average high is about 76°F. Traders appear to weigh the stable model agreement and limited upside potential from any delayed clearing or stronger heating against minor risks of slight underperformance if fog lingers. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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