**Forecast consensus for Chengdu on September 18, 2026, centers on a daily high of 24–25°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 55.0% implied probability and 25°C at 34.5%).** Multiple models and local sources, including China Meteorological Administration-aligned reports and international forecasts, project an afternoon peak near 24–25°C (roughly 75–77°F) under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain or drizzle and high humidity around 80%. These conditions limit solar heating and vertical mixing, keeping temperatures below the seasonal September average high of about 25–27°C. Light northeast winds (under 10 km/h) and stable atmospheric pressure further suppress any sharp afternoon rise. Recent days have followed a similar pattern of cloud cover and moisture, preventing the stronger warming seen in clearer periods earlier in the month. With resolution tied to official maximum temperature readings, the tight clustering around 24–25°C reflects traders’ assessment of current model agreement and the moderating influence of autumnal cloud and precipitation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 18?
24°C 56%
25°C 35%
26°C 9%
27°C 2%
$21,280 Vol.
$21,280 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
56%
25°C
35%
26°C
9%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 56%
25°C 35%
26°C 9%
27°C 2%
$21,280 Vol.
$21,280 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
56%
25°C
35%
26°C
9%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Chengdu on September 18, 2026, centers on a daily high of 24–25°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 55.0% implied probability and 25°C at 34.5%).** Multiple models and local sources, including China Meteorological Administration-aligned reports and international forecasts, project an afternoon peak near 24–25°C (roughly 75–77°F) under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain or drizzle and high humidity around 80%. These conditions limit solar heating and vertical mixing, keeping temperatures below the seasonal September average high of about 25–27°C. Light northeast winds (under 10 km/h) and stable atmospheric pressure further suppress any sharp afternoon rise. Recent days have followed a similar pattern of cloud cover and moisture, preventing the stronger warming seen in clearer periods earlier in the month. With resolution tied to official maximum temperature readings, the tight clustering around 24–25°C reflects traders’ assessment of current model agreement and the moderating influence of autumnal cloud and precipitation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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